GCC Weekly: PMIs rise with reopenings & Dubai firms junked

  • Oil demand remains uncertain but OPEC+ will raise August output and Libyan exports are restarting.
  • PMIs rose in most of the region and signalled a return to expansion in the UAE, which has moved ahead most rapidly with reopening, including restarting international travel this week.
  • There was criticism in the US of Saudi (over Aljabri) and the UAE (blocking a deal on Qatar).
  • S&P junked three Dubai real estate firms and warned the emirate will need four years to recover from a -11% GDP contraction.
  • The UAE federal government saw a major restructuring and an Abu Dhabi figure was appointed to head Arabtec, Dubai’s largest construction firm.
  • Kuwait’s parliament advanced bills to radically cut expat numbers and the government announced a stimulus package to support (the few) Kuwaitis in the private sector.
  • Bahrain’s Q1 GDP saw a -1.7% non-oil decline and a government report claimed progress on shale oil evaluations.
  • Tensions with Iran continued including another mysterious explosion and the killing of an Iraqi analyst critical of Iranian militias.

Read the full report here.

GCC countries are beginning to recover based on June 2020 PMIs
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Rory Fyfe