OMAN: Surprise surplus in Jan-Apr, but don’t get too excited yet

  • Official statistics show a fiscal surplus of 1.5% of GDP in Jan-Apr 2020.
  • However, this is misleading given one-off transfers and temporary spending cuts.
  • The underlying fiscal balance is more likely a deficit of at least 6% of GDP.
  • However, there are encouraging signs of spending cuts in some areas such as defence.
  • Oman will need to show strong progress in the next few months to win over donors and markets.

Read the full report here.

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Rory Fyfe